Description
The Grid Mix and Carbon Intensity, Projections, Three Year, US (v1.0) dataset provides a forward-looking view of how the U.S. electricity generation mix and associated carbon emissions may evolve through 2050 under multiple energy transition scenarios. Drawing from NREL’s Standard Scenarios 2024, the dataset offers insights into how differing assumptions about renewable energy deployment and policy environments could shape state-level grid composition and carbon intensity.
Technical Description
The Grid Mix and Carbon Intensity, Projections, Three Year, US (v1.0) dataset provides state-level projections of electricity generation and associated carbon intensity for the United States at three-year intervals from 2026 through 2050. The dataset is derived from modeled projections published in NREL’s Standard Scenarios 2024: A U.S. Electricity Sector Outlook, incorporating results from the Mid Case, Advanced Renewable Energy, and Conservative Renewable Energy scenarios. These scenarios capture a range of potential grid evolution pathways under differing renewable energy adoption and policy assumptions. Each projection represents a modeled evolution of the U.S. electricity sector, reflecting changes in the mix of generation technologies and resulting shifts in CO? emissions intensity over time. The dataset provides total generation, total emissions, and proportional generation contributions from major fuel and technology types across all U.S. states.