Description
The extreme cold projection product uses the same method as the historical product but is forward looking. This data is intended to be used to assess the projected extreme cold conditions under two future scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) from 2030-2090.
Technical Description
The global Extreme Cold Risk Projection products capture projected risk of extreme cold across the globe using well-established thermal stress metrics. These risk maps reflect the future risk from extreme cold in global land regions at decadal time steps for Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenarios SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5. These maps use future CMIP6-based projections of temperature and wind speed to calculate likely changes to extreme cold conditions into the future. The spatial scale for this dataset is 11 km/pixel and data is available for the years 2030 - 2090 (where windows centered around the decadal years are used to calculate the projected extreme cold conditions). Extreme cold frequencies (between 0-1) are provided for the combinations of SSP and time horizon.